Sunday, January 26, 2020

The World Distrusts a Trump-led America: "Donnie, You Got Some Splainin' To Do"



Whether evaluated on perceptions of government, business, or citizenship, the Trump effect thus far has been overwhelmingly negative.”

David Reibstein and Suneal Bedi , U.S. News


The world's trust in the United States has dropped by more than 50% since 2016, the sharpest drop of any country assessed in the 2020 “Best Countries” report. This drop is a direct reflection of leadership under President Donald Trump. Despite his comments to the contrary, the U.S. under Trump is viewed as more and more untrustworthy.

Best Countries” is a rankings, news and analysis project by U.S. News created to capture how countries are perceived on a global scale. The rankings evaluate 73 countries across 24 rankings drawn from a survey of more than 20,000 global citizens, measuring 75 dimensions that have the potential to drive trade, travel and investment and directly affect national economies.

In 2016, the U.S. had a score of 33.5 on a 100-point scale. In 2020, the country’s score is 16.3, placing the country at No. 24 of the 73 countries assessed, just behind No. 23 Greece and barely ahead of No. 25 Israel. (The U.K. ranks No. 14 for trustworthiness in 2020, but still outperforms the U.S. by nearly 50 points on a 100-point scale. Canada, meanwhile, has registered a perfect 100-point score for trustworthiness each year since the report’s 2016 debut.)

The “Best Countries” report does not stand alone in its view of a growing negative impact on U.S. global standing.

Simon Tisdall of The Guardian reports that a 25-nation Pew survey (2018) found, overall, that “70% of respondents had no confidence in Trump’s leadership.” While a majority still held a favorable view of the US, unfavorable views were up sharply from the Obama era. About 70% said “the U.S. under Trump did not take sufficient account of the interests of other countries and was doing less to address international problems.”

Then, a survey from Pew Research Group released in February 2019 showed 45% of respondents in 26 nations with large populations felt that American power and influence posed “a major threat to our country,” while 36% offered the same response on Russia, and 35% on China.

To put that in perspective, in 2013, during the presidency of Barack Obama, only 25% of global respondents held such a negative view of the U.S., while reactions to China remained essentially the same. Or just consider the most powerful country in Europe, Germany. Between 2013 and 2018, Germans who considered American power and influence a greater threat than that of China or Russia leapt from 19% to 49%. (Figures for France were similar.)

As for President Trump, only 27% of global respondents had confidence in him to do the right thing in world affairs, while 70% feared he would not.


This collapse in trust may have lasting, long-term implications for transatlantic ties. A survey of 60,000 people in 14 EU member states published in September 2019 by the European Council on Foreign Relations found most Europeans “no longer believe the US can serve as a guarantor of their security.” It is feared that Europe and America risk drifting even further apart in 2020.

What has Trump done to collapse trust?

Early in 2019, Trump discussed withdrawing the U.S. from NATO. Then later in that year, he abruptly announced a U.S. troop withdrawal from Syria that left Kurdish allies in the fight against terrorists in that country feeling abandoned. Trump has also instigated more trade wars with countries and freely criticized various world leaders. And, he stirred global alarm by killing an Iranian general in Iraq. Now, of course, Trump faces impeachment for his alleged meddling with Ukraine in the 2020 U.S. election.

Trump has an “America first” agenda, but this is translating into “America alone.” He appears to have no overall game plan, preferring to mindlessly “tweet” his way from conflict to conflict while avoiding statesmanship and diplomacy.

For those die-hard Trump supporters who continue to support him for “his great U.S. economy” despite his divisive, inept policies, you must remember reportedly he is the most dishonest president in U.S. After all, fact checkers at The Washington Post found that Trump made “16,241 false or misleading claims in his first three years” in office.

Here is a different way to view the economy from FiveThirtyEight.

FiveThirtyEight (named for the number of electors in the Electoral College) is a website that focuses on opinion poll analysis, politics, economics, and sports blogging. The site has won numerous awards including “Bloggie Awards for Best Political Coverage” in 2008 and “Best Weblog about Politics” in 2009 as well as Webbies for “Best Political Blog” in 2012 and 2013. While under the ownership of ESPN in 2016, FiveThirtyEight won the “Data Journalism Website of the Year” award from the Paris, France-based Global Editors Network.

According to FiveThirtyEight on January 10, 2020 …

Trump’s rhetoric on the American economy exists in the realm of fantasy. The official unemployment rate in the U.S. is indeed at a record low of 3.5%, according to the latest jobs report. That number suggests that only 3.5% of all Americans capable of working are currently unemployed and that more than 96% have jobs.

But digging into the numbers offers a much different picture. As per an analysis by FiveThirtyEight.com., the 3.5% unemployment figure is misleading; only about half of all employable Americans are working full time, 10% are working part time, 2.1% are actively seeking work but are unemployed, and 1.8% are not seeking work but want a job. A whopping 35% are out of the job market and not actively seeking work.”

FiveThirtyEight concludes …

That unemployment rate in the headlines? It doesn’t really take into account your cousin or anyone else who has quit job-hunting for a while or is working less than they want to. And that job growth number? Take it with +/- 120,000 grains of salt.”

(Julia Wolfe. “A Better Way To Think About December’s Jobs Numbers.” FiveThirtyEight. https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/jobs-report-growth-unemployment/. January 10, 2020.)

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